EarthSky | Historic Keeling Curve data offline after Mauna Loa eruption


That is the well-known and historic Keeling Curve. It exhibits direct measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since 1958. This curve primarily kickstarted trendy local weather science, exhibiting in 1958 that carbon dioxide was current in Earth’s ambiance in portions larger than anybody knew. Since then, these measurements at Mauna Loa and elsewhere on the globe have proven the fast rise in atmospheric CO2. Picture by way of Pieter Tans (NOAA/ESRL) / Ralph Keeling (Scripps Establishment of Oceanography)/ Wikimedia Commons. Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 Worldwide.

On November 28, 2022, Mauna Loa – world’s largest lively volcano – erupted for the primary time in 38 years. Thus far, there’ve been no stories of property injury and no deaths. However Mauna Loa Observatory is residence to a well-known and historic science endeavor, which, since 1958, has supplied practically steady direct measurements of heat-trapping carbon dioxide in Earth’s ambiance. The measurements are used as an example what’s known as the Keeling Curve, iconic proof of a quickly warming Earth. However – 5 hours after the volcanic eruption started on November 28, the gear measuring the carbon dioxide in Earth’s ambiance misplaced energy. At this writing, it stays offline.

The Keeling Curve is dramatic, and necessary. It exhibits, for instance, that when these measurements of atmospheric CO2 started, in 1958, the focus of carbon dioxide in Earth’s ambiance was roughly 315 components per million (ppm).

In 2021, in accordance with measurements taken at Mauna Loa and elsewhere across the globe, the Keeling Curve hit 420 ppm for the primary time in human historical past.

Measurements of the Keeling Curve have been practically steady since 1958. A short funding problem in 1964 and the final eruption in 1984 created small blips within the document. However the latest eruption may have the gear offline for months, in accordance with a statement from the Scripps Establishment of Oceanography, which oversees the hassle.

Scripps geoscientist Ralph Keeling, son of Keeling Curve originator Charles David Keeling, said of the present eruption of Mauna Loa:

It’s a giant eruption and it’s in a nasty place.

Keeling Curve: Cars in foreground lit by passing light, background of red erupting volcano.
View at EarthSky Community Photos. | Paul C. Peh took this picture of the eruption on Mauna Loa from neighboring Mauna Kea on November 28, 2022. Paul wrote: “That is the best level I may get on Mauna Kea for this angle. The highway to the summit is closed because of icy situations. Wow! It’s onerous to take all of it in until one is right here in individual. Nothing beats the human eye!” Thanks, Paul! The eruption on Mauna Loa prompted the instrument that measures the well-known Keeling Curve to lose energy.

What’s the Keeling Curve?

The Keeling Curve is a each day document of worldwide atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations in Earth’s ambiance. Charles David Keeling of the Scripps Establishment of Oceanography made the unique carbon dioxide measurements at Mauna Loa Observatory in 1958. This practically uninterrupted document spanning greater than 60 years has been a key authority exhibiting the regular climb of carbon dioxide in Earth’s ambiance. As the web site for the Keeling Curve, hosted by the College of California San Diego, acknowledged, the Keeling Curve:

…has supplied incontrovertible proof that the quantity of the fuel carbon dioxide has risen far above any ranges skilled on Earth for at the very least three million years. Further research has proven that the one believable reason behind the warming attributable to the rise in concentrations of that fuel is using fossil fuels by society.

What the Keeling Curve information

The video beneath exhibits Ralph Keeling explaining how the carbon-dioxide measurements are taken and analyzed.

The Keeling Curve doesn’t proceed straight upward however has a jagged up-and-down sample that, over time, creates an upward pattern. That’s as a result of carbon dioxide follows a seasonal cycle. The majority of land mass and crops are within the Northern Hemisphere. Throughout a Northern Hemisphere summer season, crops take up carbon dioxide, decreasing the quantity within the ambiance. Due to this fact, throughout winter, the quantities of carbon dioxide are larger than in summer season.

Why is it positioned on Mauna Loa?

Charles David Keeling thought of the Mauna Loa Observatory a great web site for his carbon-dioxide recording gear as a result of it was positioned removed from exterior influences. Additionally, it’s removed from the massive island of Hawai’i and different main land plenty. As well as, its location atop a volcanic mountain put it removed from vegetation, preserving it freed from contamination of photosynthesis by surrounding crops.

Nonetheless, whereas the Mauna Loa location is the longest document of this information, there are actually different places world wide performing the identical monitoring. You’ll be able to see the places from the map beneath. After all, the opposite stations will decide up the slack whereas the Mauna Loa station is offline. As Ralph Keeling told CNN:

We in all probability can survive this, however it’s nonetheless a extremely key indicator that we hate to lose.

Map of Pacfic Ocean with labels for locations of Keeling Curve monitoring stations.
This map exhibits the placement of different carbon-dioxide monitoring stations that document the Keeling Curve. Picture by way of Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego.

Backside line: Mauna Loa Observatory is the placement of the historic carbon-dioxide information that measures the Keeling Curve. The November 2022 volcanic eruption could interrupt this necessary recording for months.

Via Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego

For updates, observe @Keeling_Curve on Twitter.





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